HOA Foreclosures in Las Vegas - Part 2

There are four primary scenarios encountered as we pursue clear title on a property:

1. Our attorney pursues quiet title on the home in an attempt to get a 100% free and clear title on the property that is marketable, can be insured, and allows us to resell the home at any time.  Although it is not the norm, there have been many cases when this method has worked and the buyer of the HOA delinquent receivables has walked away with a free and clear title from the quiet title procedure.  Since many investors are buying these HOA receivables at 5-10 cents on the dollar, when quiet title does occur, it generates a huge return on investment.
2. If a lending institution still holds a lien (1st or 2nd mortgage) on the home, a second strategy is to hold onto the home to generate cash flow for as long as possible while the bank tries to foreclose on the property.   If properties are bought at a low enough price, and the foreclosure is not completed quickly (as they usually are not,) there is a very good possibility that this will end up being a positive return situation for our investor client.  In addition to rents collected, the probability of receiving the majority of the investment back from the bank during negotiation is also very strong.  The bank may have to pay the investor the super priority lien amount plus the overage of what was paid at auction.  If this is the case, the investor receives all of their money back, less the rehab costs, plus any rental cash flow generated during the foreclosure process.   This seems to be what most investors are banking on and are now starting to bid properties up to 20% of the property’s value at these HOA auctions.
3. The third scenario is one that has generated personal success for my clients and I and one which I believe will become the most profitable and prevalent of all.  Once an investor has possession of the home, and has hired an attorney, it becomes very costly and time consuming for the bank to battle to get their home back.  If the bank were to foreclose on the home, their goal would be to eventually list and sell the home anyway.  So why not sell the home to the investor that currently has possession of it?   We have successfully negotiated with the bank through our attorney to buy a home at 70% of BPO.  On this particular home, the client had only put a little over $4000 into the purchase.  This $4000 includes the cost of the lien at auction, rehab, maintenance, management for a year, and attorney's fees less the rental proceeds from the months the home was rented.  The bank agreed to sell the home to our investor for $84,000 and the home is worth about $145,000 in today’s market. 

Another example of the benefits of having a good attorney can be seen in a recent transaction where our client purchased liens for two condos and after negotiation the bank simply wrote off and completely released their liens on the properties.  In that case it appeared that the bank understood that it wouldn't be economically beneficial for them to fight and spend upwards of $30,000 in legal fees for a $50,000 condo. 
As you may have gathered from trying to understand this new form of investing, there is a tremendous upside to it and very little downside based on current legislation, court cases, and history that we have seen so far.  I have personally been involved in approximately 30 of these transactions and have sold around 50 others to my client base of investors. 
If you are interested in learning more about the HOA foreclosure process and how you can use it to generate returns, please give me a call directly and I can answer any and all questions you might have.  I can also describe in detail how we are able to partner with investors to buy these homes, townhomes, and condos at 5-20 cents on the dollar and manage them effectively while getting the maximum return out of each home that we obtain, manage, or sell. 

How To Determine The Value of Your Las Vegas Property Part 1

Today, I continue with part 2 of my series discussing how to value your potential investment properties using the method I use for Broker Price Opinions.

Adjustments

Once you have obtained your comparables, adjustments are then made to the comparable properties to reflect their features that are superior or inferior to the subject property.  IMPORTANT: The adjustments are calculated on the price of the comparable properties, not the subject.   For example, if a comp sold for $180,000, then you will add or subtract adjustments to that $180,000 in order to account for positive or negative relative features of the subject property. After the necessary adjustments are made, we are left with a reasonably accurate picture of the worth of the subject property. It can be confusing at first, determining whether an adjustment to the price of the comp should be positive or negative, but it gets easier with practice. The basic idea is to use a negative adjustment on the comparable property, if the comp has superior features to the subject property and positive adjustments on the comparable property if the comp has inferior features to subject property.  A BPO looks much like an appraisal, and the adjustments work the same way. Below is an example of a typical BPO/appraisal adjustment spreadsheet.



Based on the above comparables and adjustments, the subject property is worth between $439K and $509K.

How to Calculate Adjustments

Calculating adjustments is a judgment call based on an individual market.  When adjusting for square footage, one should take into account the average price per square foot at which comparable properties are selling in the specific neighborhood being evaluated. As a general rule of thumb, extra bedrooms are worth around $8,000. It is often surprising to people to learn that upgrades like pools and exceptional finishes don't necessarily add much to a property in terms of appraised value. They do, however, make the property easier to rent and easier to sell.

Hot Weather Cools Home Sales in Las Vegas

Temperatures in Las Vegas in June soared above average bench marks, but the hot weather seemed to be one factor contributing to slightly cooling sales trends in the local real estate market. The GLVAR reported declines in both new home sales and resales of existing homes last month. During June of this year, there were 3,642 closings of existing single-family homes compared to 3,884 closings in May (down 6.2%) and 3,945 closings in June of 2012 (down 7.7%.) This mark is also down from the high volume of sales Las Vegas recorded shortly after the market collapse.  Vegas properties closed at a rate of 4,702 resales in June of 2009, mostly due to the huge number of cheap foreclosures flooding the market and being snapped up by investors at that time.

New home sales were also down in the Las Vegas valley. Builders unloaded just 637 new properties in June, down 8.5% from May.  This number is still significantly higher than the previous June though, when very little new construction was available on the market. Dennis Smith, president and CEO of Home Builders Research, blames hotter than average weather and the sharp rise in interest rates for the decline.

It is interesting to note, however, that 60% of Las Vegas deals are still being completed as cash transactions, most of these sales to investors.  It seems unlikely to think that investors who are paying cash would have much regard for either rising interest rates or rising temperatures.  Rather, it seems to me, that the slow down in sales rates has more to do with the decrease in foreclosures on the market and the subsequent difficulties investors are facing in finding properties that cash flow as profitable investments.

I have been pursuing HOA foreclosures over the last year as an excellent way to obtain Las Vegas investment properties for my clients at 2010 and 2011 prices. These properties can not only generate positive cash flow, but they have instant equity and still benefit from the rising home prices we expect to continue to see in Las Vegas as the housing market recovers further from its catastrophic lows. If you are interested in learning more about this unique way to purchase discount Las Vegas real estate, call Glenn directly for more information.

Bubble Much? Is a Second Real Estate Bubble Upon Us?

Here's the short answer to that question: Maybe.

Home prices in the United States spiked a remarkable 12.2% in the year long period ending May, 2013.  That gain is the largest one-year post since 2006. In fact, for the first time since the housing collapse, two cities posted new record high median home prices: Dallas and Denver. In Las Vegas, the gains were even more incredible. Las Vegas home prices rose 23.3% in twelve months, although prices still remain well below the highs of 2006.

So what does all this mean for the average home buyer or the real estate investor? Are prices going to continue to sky rocket? Are we creating another real estate bubble here in Las Vegas? Are we watching the beginnings of "Bubble 2014"?

Maybe. But I don't think we've reached the "danger zone" just yet. Many economists believe that rising mortgage rates (likely to continue to rise as the Fed begins to taper off quantitative easing) and rising supply levels will hold back the meteoric rise of real estate values and start to restore balance to the Las Vegas real estate market in the next year. I think that this is a definite possibility. IF these things occur, then I believe prices will stabilize in the Las Vegas market and we will likely avoid another real estate crash. IF, however, supply levels in Las Vegas do not rise quickly enough to keep up with demand, or if mortgage rates rise only marginally and do not serve as a deterrent, then it is likely that we will see prices continue to rise sharply in the Las Vegas real estate market. If that happens, we may very well find ourselves facing another bubble. Bubble 2014 perhaps.

Only time will tell.



 

Flipping Slows in Las Vegas - We Could Have Told You That!

A new report from California based real estate information group RealtyTrac was cited recently in the Las Vegas Review Journal.  The report shows that home flipping activity has slowed dramatically in Las Vegas in the first half of 2013. The average gain per home is also down significantly. The Review Journal explains:

"Investors in Nevada flipped 2,932 homes from January to June, a 34 percent decline compared with the first six months of 2012. The average purchase price for a flipped property, defined as a home bought and resold in the same six-month period, was $162,472. That included an average gross profit of $15,205, or 9 percent.

Nationally, investors flipped 136,184 homes, for a gain of 19 percent. The average purchase price was $200,942, with a profit of $18,391, also a 9 percent margin. Buyers typically purchased at a 5 percent discount on market value, and sold at a 1 percent premium."

Well...yeah.  We could have told you that was coming almost a year ago.  Oh wait...we did tell you. Ever since the passage of AB289, the inventory of foreclosures in Las Vegas has been dwindling.  Without this traditional source of undervalued homes, investors have struggled to find homes to flip.  Lately, they've struggled to find even homes to keep as buy and hold investments.

We've been investigating a new source of undervalued properties for our investor clients in the last year: HOA foreclosures. This new buying strategy has been working very well and we are once again able to secure property for our investors at prices we thought we might never see again.  If you are looking to purchase investment property in Las Vegas and have been unsuccessful, give me a call directly. I can explain the HOA foreclosure process to you in more detail and let you know how it can help grow your portfolio of investment properties.

North Las Vegas Approves Proposal to Seize Underwater Homes Using Eminent Domain

 

 

On the surface it looks like a win-win proposal.  The City of North Las Vegas has seen revenues plummet over the last several years as a result of the huge rate of foreclosures in the city resulting in lost property tax revenues.  In fact, North Las Vegas very narrowly avoided bankruptcy last year. At the same time, North Las Vegas homeowners are suffering under the highest rate of upside down mortgages in Clark County, and one of the highest in the nation. An unconventional plan appears to propose a solution to both problems. How does it work? Under the controversial plan proposed by San Francisco based consulting firm Mortgage Resolution Partners, the City of North Las Vegas would seize thousands of underwater homes using eminent domain provisions (the same provisions used to seize property that lies in the way of interstate expansion, etc.) The city would then pay the banks (or private investors as MRP likes to call them) a fraction of the amount owed on the property and would restructure the debt and resell it to another “private investor” at a lower principle balance.  For this service, both MRP and the City of North Las Vegas would take a fee as a percentage of the loan amount for each and every home seized in this manner. The idea is that homeowners end up with a home loan with a principal balance closer to the actual current market value of the home, the city makes money, MRP makes money, and the only loser is those pesky banks we all love to hate.

What could possibly go wrong?  A lot actually.

First, there is the issue of litigation. Examiners of the bill testified before city council yesterday and noted that the possibility of litigation from the private investors who currently own the mortgages in question is very high.  Ward 4 councilman Wade Wagner, the only council member to vote against the bill, noted “There’s a lot of unanswered questions. But I think the only thing it (the bill) guarantees is a lot of litigation for a lot of years.” Second, there’s a small problem with the potential legality of the plan. Nevada Bankers Association President Bill Uffelman noted that there are legal limits on the amount of property the state can seize through eminent domain and then transfer between private parties. There’s also the matter of selling these restructured mortgages at the end of the deal. I have to personally wonder how many banks and other “private investors” will be lining up to buy mortgage backed securities for mortgages that were non-performing to begin with and which were seized in a manner that resulted in a huge loss for the investors who held them originally.

Of course the final issue that no one seems to want to address is the issue of morality. I am as much for saving people’s homes as anyone. In fact, when I first read about this plan my initial reaction was very positive.  I thought, “Great! These people will be able to stay in their homes.  The government hasn’t been able to help them, the banks won’t modify their loans, this is great for them.” And it is. But at whose expense? Our society has become so comfortable with vilifying “big corporations” and banks as the bad guys that we sometimes neglect to see the forest for the trees.  Banks are what drive our economy.  Without banks lending money we wouldn’t be able to buy homes, or cars, or pay for college. Without banks lending money the housing industry will very quickly grind to a halt.  And yet, we seem perfectly willing to hand over millions of dollars to MRP to help us stick it to the banks whose major crime seems to be that they loaned money to us to begin with.  Silly them.

The Las Vegas Housing Market Isn't All Good News? What?

I've sort of started to feel like a stick in the mud.  Median home prices are rising meteorically in Las Vegas, inventory remains ridiculously low, and foreclosures seem to have simply faded into the sunset.  New home starts are moving back to pre-bubble levels and everything seems to be coming up roses for the Las Vegas real estate market.  So why do I keep raining on the parade?  Well, lots of reasons really, you can read my previous blog posts/press releases for all of them, but I was happy today to see a report from the Nevada Department of Business & Industry that makes me feel a little more justified in my cautionary outlook.  It's not that I'm saying that Las Vegas real estate isn't improving, it's just that I'm encouraging my clients to proceed with caution, because the market has not fully recovered.

The new index released by the Department of Business & Industry seems to agree with me. The Nevada Housing Stability Index was just unveiled.  It is a report designed to use multiple markers to evaluate the true strength or weakness of the real estate market.  It is interesting to note that even with all the positivity circulating lately, Las Vegas earned a D+.  Yep, you heard it right...a D+.  Coincidentally, had the measure been available at this same time last year, we would have earned a D.  That's not a huge improvement.

So what's dragging us down? A few things actually...nine to be exact. Nevada lags behind average in the following categories: percentage of homes under water, share of investors, foreclosure volume, delinquency rate, housing affordability and availability and four others. Nevada received middle of the road marks for distressed home sales, and our only two high marks were for balance between supply and demand and demand for new construction.

So where now? You can look at the report two ways.  First, it ought to remind us all to proceed with caution.  It remains a great time to invest in Las Vegas foreclosures and other real estate, but you need to work with a professional who can help you evaluate cash flow on your potential investment and make sure that you are in a solid position to endure market fluctuations.  The second way to view the report is that there is lots of room for improvement.  This bodes well for investors who are afraid they've "missed the boat" so to speak.  It would appear that we have a lot of upside ahead of us still in the Las Vegas market.

If you are interested in learning more about Las Vegas foreclosures or other real estate investments, contact Glenn directly.

Las Vegas Still Leads the Nation in Underwater Homes

A recent report reprinted in the Las Vegas Review Journal shows that Las Vegas, even after years of record setting foreclosures, still leads the nation in underwater homes.  Zillow's Negative Equity Report tracks homeowners' outstanding mortgage balances versus the value of their homes. Zillow's report confirms data released by real estate analysis firm CoreLogic which found that 52.4% of Las Vegas households currently owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth.

The passage of Assembly Bill 284 may be partially to blame for this backlog of underwater homes. AB284 brought the Las Vegas foreclosure market to a screeching halt last year. Foreclosures dropped from more than 4000 per month to less than 100.  Banks have since found ways to re-initiate foreclosures, but still at nowhere near the pace they were before the passage of the controversial bill.  This has many analysts wondering what will flush out the supply of underwater properties if foreclosures remain sluggish.

The proclivity of negative equity is not equal throughout the Las Vegas valley. Pockets of exceptionally high rates of underwater homes exist along the 15 corridor from downtown up through North Las Vegas to the Nellis Air Force base as well as the northernmost portions of Centennial Hills.  As many as 74% of all homes are underwater in those areas. Rates are significantly better in other parts of the valley, most notably Anthem, Henderson, Green Valley and areas near Summerlin, with rates as low as 29% in Summerlin proper.

With an uncertain real estate market ahead of us in the short term, the best advice for many homeowners is to either refinance or list their home as a short sale.  Refinancing is extremely attractive for many homeowners with home prices climbing sharply over the last six months and interest rates dropping to record lows. It is also the perfect time to take advantage of a short sale opportunity if your home is still underwater.  The government has extended the Mortgage Debt Relief Tax Forgiveness Act through 2013 and most experts agree it is unlikely that it will be extended further.

If you are interested in either refinancing or listing your home as a short sale, contact me for more information.

Up, Up, And Away...Las Vegas Home Prices Show No Signs Of Slowing Down

The Las Vegas housing market continued its white hot rise as the sales volume of new construction rose in April to the second highest levels since the summer of 2008, which was in the midst of the housing bubble boom.  Meanwhile, the median home price for new construction hit a record high. Both January and April had the fastest sales rate (lowest days on market) since July of 2008. The median home price for houses sold in April was up to $271,600...this is the highest mark since the government began keeping these records in 1993.

This is a whole lot of positive data, and many people are taking these indicators to be signs that the housing market is recovering aggressively in Las Vegas.  This certainly appears to be the case.  But, at the risk of being the only downer in the room, I'd like to remind everyone that the recent highs in Las Vegas real estate isn't based on particularly wonderful economic growth, either locally or nationally.  Unemployment is still way too high.  The Fed is hinting that quantitative easing might be ending soon, but it hasn't ended yet.  Cities like North Las Vegas are still teetering on the brink of bankruptcy.  And, of course, let's not forget the elephant in the room...AB 284. The Nevada Assembly drastically altered the Las Vegas housing market when they passed a bill that virtually ended foreclosures in the Las Vegas valley. The assembly members might be looking like heroes right about now.  But it has been my experience that anything that alters the natural flow of the economy eventually has its consequences and they are rarely pleasant.  I am seriously concerned as to whether or not the growth in the Las Vegas housing market can be sustained.  I would caution potential investors to focus on cash flow, cash flow, cash flow.  If you make sure that you purchase a property with positive cash flow right out of the gate, you will be insulated against the further twists and turns of a potentially fickle Las Vegas housing market.

VIP Realty Expands Property Management Division

Sometimes I get so caught up discussing current market conditions and trends in the Las Vegas real estate market, or analyzing the economy as a whole and it's effect on home prices, that I forget to notify my readers about new developments within my business.  Many of you probably already know that several months ago I formed my own brokerage headquartered in a beautiful new office space in Northwest Las Vegas. VIP Realty, which stands for Vegas International Properties, was formed to cater specifically to the needs of our investor clients.  Although we do offer services to traditional home buyers and sellers, 90% of our business is from investors. Most of our investors are from out of town with many from out of the country.  In the last year we have been privileged to help broker deals for clients from Canada, China, Europe and Central America. Because I am an investor myself, I understand what investors need and how to find a property best suited to their goals.

One of the major components that we have found appeals to our out of town clients is our in house property management division. We have worked hard and expanding this division over the last year and we now manage over 100 properties for our clients. By performing our property management with our own hand picked team, we are able to insure quality and keep costs down. We realize that investors want to be able to trust that their properties are being maintained at a high standard.  They also need a property management service that constantly looks out for their best interests by making sure that rents are paid on time and that vacancies and delinquencies are dealt with quickly, efficiently, and effectively.

Our property management division is able to provide this superior service at a reasonable price.  Our investors are able to come to us for the whole package when it comes to investing in Las Vegas real estate.  We will help them find the best investment property, analyze cash flow, find and place a tenant, maintain the property, and deal with any vacancies. One of the major reasons I decided to step out and start my own brokerage is because I wanted to offer this complete service package to my clients according the vision I have had for several years.  I would love to tell you more about our services.  Please don't hesitate to call me if you are considering investing in Las Vegas real estate.

3 Steps of Certainty in an Uncertain Real Estate Market

The age old saying is that the only two things you can be sure of in life are death and taxes.  Perhaps in Las Vegas we could add, “the house always wins.”  Well if death, taxes, and the casino edge are 10s on the list of Las Vegas certainties, the real estate market right now is somewhere between a one and a two.  AB284 has slowed foreclosure inventory to a trickle, new construction is hot but running out of available inventory, and the economic recovery remains tenuous at best.  These factors make it extremely difficult to predict whether the market will go up or down in the short to mid-term.  So what is the savvy real estate investor to do?

I recommend three solid steps for success in these uncertain times:

1. Refinance

Mortgage interest rates are at all time historic lows.  Remember two years ago when everyone said that interest rates couldn’t possibly get any lower?  They did. With home prices up 30% in only one year in the Las Vegas valley, now is the perfect time to refinance your investment properties (or your residence for that matter) and free up cash for more investment acquisitions.  Interest rates are unlikely to get any better (really) and it is very uncertain whether home prices will continue to rise.  There really is no downside to refinancing.  If home prices fall or interest rates rise, you will be thankful that you locked in your refinance now.  On the other hand, if rates fall further or prices skyrocket over the next two years, you can always refinance again.

2. List Your Short Sale

The mortgage debt forgiveness act has been extended for one more year (through the end of 2013) and most experts agree that it is very unlikely that it will be extended again.  This act forgives homeowners of the tax obligations associated with debt forgiven through the short sale of their primary residence.  Without the provisions of this act, homeowners who sell their property through a short sale and receive a waiver of deficiency are obligated to pay Federal income tax on the amount of that waiver as if it were regular income.  This tax requirement makes it very difficult for the average homeowner, upside down on their property, to be able to afford a short sale.  If you are considering short selling your home, or if you are still upside down on your property but hoping that gains in the market will erase that deficiency, you should strongly consider short selling your home now rather than waiting.

3. Consider Cash Flow

When market conditions are uncertain, as they are presently, investors should rely heavily on cash flow data when making decisions to purchase an investment property. If you purchase a property with strong cash flow, you can withstand market fluctuations.  We specialize in locating and helping our clients find investment properties with strong cash flow and appreciation potential, even in strong sellers’ markets like we are currently experiencing in Las Vegas.  If you are interested in learning more about investing in Las Vegas real estate or if you would like a referral for your refinance to a company we have used with great success, please contact me directly.

Traditional Home Sales Return to Dominance in Las Vegas

 

 

Las Vegas real estate professionals have watched and waited for the last year to see how the passage of Nevada Assembly Bill 284 would impact the local real estate market.  The initial effects were obvious.  Virtually overnight, foreclosures halted in the greater Las Vegas area.  Banks went from filing over 4000 new notices of foreclosure each month, to filing less than 100. Although banks have since found ways to resume the foreclosure process, foreclosures rates are still less than half of what they were prior to AB284. Many investment specialists, such as myself, cautioned that this lack of foreclosure inventory could very likely create dramatic and somewhat “artificial” price increases as demand temporarily outpaced supply.  This is, in fact, exactly what has happened.

As the foreclosure process continues to be slowed and stopped by this legislation, median sales prices have skyrocketed, rising over 30% in the last year in Las Vegas, while the number of units sold has dropped by a large margin.  This means that the rise in home prices is not being brought on by soaring demand, but by extremely low supply.  What most buyers and sellers in Las Vegas may be unaware of, is that the Nevada Assembly is considering several modifications to AB284 that may be real game changers for the Las Vegas real estate market.  I recently interviewed Las Vegas attorney and co-author of AB284 Tish Black on my radio show “The Las Vegas Real Estate Reality Hour.”  (If you would like more information on the laws that are being proposed in the Nevada Assembly, you can listen to a rebroadcast of the show on my website at www.teamplantone.com.  The radio player is located on the left hand side of the home page.  Simply click on Playlist and then scroll down to the episode titled Possible Changes to AB284.)

The bottom line is that the real estate market is very unstable in Las Vegas at the moment.  Several possible changes to the law could push inventory up and prices down again.  On the other hand, strong gains in the broader economic picture could facilitate another year or more of double digit gains.  The end of the current Assembly session should provide some indications of what the near future might bring.  I will keep you updated as things progress.

Lack of Inventory Drives Down Sales Numbers

Yet more evidence that Las Vegas home prices are being driven up not by above average demand, but by below average supply.  Nationwide, home sales rose in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 417,000 units.  While this is seen as a sign that the broader housing market is starting to shows signs of a sustained recovery, it is well below the 700,000 unit mark, which is what most economists point to as a “healthy” sales rate.  Those 417,000 units though do represent a 1.5% increase nationally from the previous month and a 18.5% increase from the same month last year.

Las Vegas, however, is not leading the way.  In fact, Las Vegas sales data is dragging the rest of the nation down.  Although data was not available in the report I read for only Clark County, data for the Western United States showed sales falling 20.9%.  In the report, this was attributed to problems of supply.  These figures and more like them lead us to again speculate on whether or not the run up of home prices in the Las Vegas valley is a sustainable phenomenon.

Las Vegas Land Prices Fuel Surging Housing Market

 

 

But is it a second bubble?

The price for residential land in Las Vegas has risen 90% in only a year as
new construction continues to feverishly attempt to capitalize on the
demand for housing created by the slow down in foreclosures.  According
to an article in the Las Vegas Review Journal, Sunbelt Development and
Realty Partners reported an average price of $202,983 an acre for
medium-density (six to 14 units an acre) residential land in the fourth
quarter of 2012, compared with $170,450 in the third quarter and
$104,000 at the beginning of the year.  This rise in land prices comes
as the last of the “dinosaurs” haunting the Las Vegas valley are sold
off.  These dinosaurs are projects that were abandoned in various stages
of incompletion after the real estate bubble burst in 2008.  For
several years, home builders who wanted to, could purchase these
partially finished lots for fabulously low prices...but not many wanted
to.  New home construction ground almost completely to a halt in 2009.
 Over the last year, however, demand for new homes has skyrocketed and
developers who could have purchased land cheaply three years ago are now
entering bidding wars for residential lots.

Land is becoming a precious commodity in Las Vegas.  This is partially due
to the geography of the valley itself.  There is only a limited amount
of land remaining in the Las Vegas valley and much of it is owned by the
United States government as BLM land.  This is an issue that Las Vegas
developers have always known they will have to face sometime in the
future.  In the near term, there are still plenty of residential lots to
be had, but prices are escalating rapidly.  Home Builders Research
President Dennis Smith has described the increase land prices over the
last year as “downright scary.”  Robb Beville, president of Las
Vegas-based Harmony Homes, elaborated, “Low inventory is what is driving
up the demand, not job growth or employment growth.”  

This “artificial” increase in real estate prices is something we’ve been
talking about for the last year.  It is creating a lot of uncertainty in
the Las Vegas real estate market and makes it difficult to know if the
recovery we are currently experiencing in home prices will continue, or
lead to another bubble bursting.  As always, in this time of
uncertainty, we strive to bring you the best real estate investment
bargains available, as well as the best information and advice on the
market.  We recently offered one of these “dinosaur” unfinished
condominium developments to our investors for pennies on the dollar.  If
you are interested in finding deals, like this one, that still exist in
Las Vegas, call and speak to Glenn personally.

Real Estate Backed Investments on the Rise Again

 

 

For several decades, owning real estate was considered one of the safest income plays available to investors.  Investors appreciated the tangibility of owning an actual home on an actual piece of property.  They appreciated that the variables associated with a real estate investment were much easier to understand than the myriad of factors that affect investments in the stock market.  For many investors, this all changed when the real estate bubble burst in 2008.  For several years after the bubble burst, even as real estate prices hovered at historic lows and potential returns soared, Americans returned to the stock market in droves and it became difficult to convince investors to give real estate another chance.  But recent statistics seem to indicate that this period of concern has come and gone, and investors are now competing in a sellers’ market to buy the same properties that they could have snatched up for pennies on the dollar only two years ago.

But some investors still shy away from the stability, long-term appreciation, and cash flow that real estate investments bring for the simple reason that they don’t feel equipped to manage such an investment.  We address this potential problem in two ways.  First, we offer full service property management for all of our investors’ properties.  We have been doing this for several years and we currently have over 100 Las Vegas properties in our management portfolio. Because we cater to investors, we know what investors need from a property management team and we strive to make investing in Las Vegas real estate easy and hands off as much as possible.

We also offer investment positions in the flips that we complete.  We have completed over 200 flips in the last three years, with an excellent track record for profitability.  (Records available upon request.)  For our clients that want to enjoy high rates of return with no involvement in transaction details or property management this works perfectly.  With a minimum investment of $100,000 we provide a guaranteed 10% return.  One year terms are standard, but we will consider different lengths for special circumstances.

If you’ve been considering investing in Las Vegas real estate, but aren’t quite sure where to begin, give us a call.  I will help you consider all your options and find an investment plan that works best for you individual needs.

Possible Revision to AB284 Could Re-Open Floodgates of Foreclosures in Las Vegas

 

Assembly Bill 300, introduced by Assemblyman Jason Frierson, D-Las Vegas, was introduced in March and seeks to change a pivotal definition that is part of Nevada Assembly Bill 284.  AB284, which passed the legislature last year, was supposed to help protect homeowners from illegal foreclosures.  What it has done, however, is to slow foreclosures to a trickle, artificially raise prices throughout Las Vegas, and allow some homeowners to remain in their home for years without paying on their mortgages.  

The new bill seeks to replace the language of AB284, which requires anyone signing documents on behalf of a lender to have “personal knowledge” of who owns the promissory note on the loan with a phrase requiring those signing foreclosure documents to have knowledge that could be “obtained from reviewing business records of the beneficiary of the deed of trust and information from the county recorder or title insurance issued by an agent authorized to do business in the state,” according to the Las Vegas Review Journal’s coverage of the issue.  Assemblyman Frierson describes the proposed revisions to AB284 as a compromise that “realtors, title companies, bankers and legal aid all came together and said this would satisfy their concerns about personal knowledge.”

It will be interesting to see what the effects of the passage of AB300 could be for the housing market in Las Vegas.  It is possible that a loosening of the restrictions imposed on banks by AB284 could result in a new wave of foreclosures that drive prices back down in the valley.  Many people, including myself, have cautioned that the rapid rise in home prices we’ve seen in Las Vegas in the last year and a half could be the beginning of another real estate bubble.  Only time will tell, but if I had a house to sell in Las Vegas, I would definitely be selling it now.

Real Recovery for Las Vegas Real Estate?

 

 

The sales numbers for Las Vegas real estate have been extremely promising over the last year and a half.  But does this mean that a real recovery is underway?  It might be too soon to tell.  One thing we can be sure of, however, is that Las Vegas, previously known as the foreclosure capital of the nation, has now become one of the hottest housing markets in the U.S.

As I discussed with my co-host Brad Henderson on the Las Vegas Real Estate Realty Hour show of February 9th, Las Vegas real estate appreciated between 15% and 24% last year alone.  This leads all other major metropolitan markets other than Phoenix.  

My personal experience in the Las Vegas marketplace bears out this trend.  Two years ago, it was relatively easy for me to find investment properties for my clients at $50/sq. ft. or even less.  Now it is difficult to find properties listed under $100/sq. ft.  This recovery seems to be extending to new construction as well.  New construction ground almost to a halt in the Las Vegas valley for over four years after the real estate bubble burst, but now new builds are back in full swing and selling at a brisk pace.

If you are looking for timely updates on the Las Vegas real estate market along with different viewpoints from fascinating guest speakers, tune into my weekly radio show or visit teamplantone.com to listen to all the back episodes.

Second Bubble Far From Bursting

 

 

Las Vegas home prices continue to rise, outpacing all other metro areas nationwide.  In fact, residential home prices gained an unbelievable 2% in February alone, the largest single month gain since May of 2006.  Economists attribute the gains to continued low inventory in the valley, historically low mortgage interest rates, and improving employment numbers.

In an odd twist of fate, improving home prices might actually help add to housing inventory as homeowners who have wanted to sell, but have been underwater on their homes, find price points at which it makes sense to finally put their homes on the market. It remains to be seen if this potential increase in inventory will slake demand and push prices down again in the ultra-hot Las Vegas housing market. Many homeowners are also expressing confusion as to whether current market conditions are right for listing their home. Many are just beginning to reach the absolute minimum price levels at which they could list their home and not take a significant loss on the transaction.  Many have been waiting years for this moment.  But then they pause to wonder if prices are going to continue to escalate at their current rate.  If so, why not wait a few months before listing their property?  Perhaps they could actually make money on the transaction?

It is very difficult to spot absolute market peaks, perhaps even more difficult than spotting bottoms. While I have said for months that I don’t believe that the oft-mentioned “shadow inventory” will ever make an appearance here in Las Vegas, I do believe that current market conditions are unstable, unpredictable, and being driven by more than just hard economic data. That being said, I can’t tell you if this is the perfect time to sell your Las Vegas home or not.  What I can tell you is that this may be the perfect time to refinance.  Home prices are attractive, and refinance rates are at all-time lows.  There really seems to be no better time to initiate either a rate and term refinance or a cash out refi...especially if you are going to use that cash to re-invest in Las Vegas properties.  It might seem hard to believe in this extremely hot market, but we are still finding great investment deals for our clients.  If you are interested either in Las Vegas real estate investing, or in a great referral for your refinance deals (I have a wonderful broker I’ve used for years), give me a call.  I’d be happy to chat.

Wet N' Wild Returns to Las Vegas

After an absence of several years, Wet N’ Wild is now returning to Las Vegas.  Unlike the original water park, which was located on the north end of the Strip, the new location is on the south side of the city by the 215 beltway and Fort Apache.  The largest water park in Nevada will feature 25 attractions including water slides, tube rides, a wave pool, a lazy river, and a children’s area.  

Although the scorching summers would appear to make Las Vegas the perfect location for a water park, the city has not had a full-scale public water attraction since the first Wet N’ Wild closed its door in 2004 after 20 years in business.  The delay in developing a new park to take its place appears to lie mainly with the difficulty in obtaining water rights in the Las Vegas valley.  In the harsh Las Vegas desert, water rights are one of the most coveted, and expensive, commodities.

Ultimately, a joint venture featuring funding from notable sources like Andre Agassi and Steffi Graf, Dr. Steven and Karen Thomas of the Thomas and Mack family, and Australian entertainment conglomerate Village Roadshow Ltd. were able to raise the more than $50 million needed to develop the park.  The Howard Hughes Corporation will provide the lease for the land on which the park is strategically placed.

We certainly view this new major development as another sign that business as usual is returning to normal in  the Las Vegas area.  Las Vegas has historically boasted a high growth rate because of its diverse employment opportunities generated by the ever-increasing numbers of tourists visiting the town each year.  Rental housing continues to be a great investment in Las Vegas with historically high cash flow spreads.

Wet N’ Wild is scheduled to open Memorial Weekend 2013.

Helping the Housing Recovery in Three Steps - Part One

My colleague Tamara Lemmon recently brought to my attention a piece she wrote for foreclosure.com outlining what must be done to accelerate the housing recovery.  She has allowed me to share the article with you here on my blog:

"Warren Buffet, in his annual letter to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway, said, “Last year, I told you that ‘a housing recovery will probably begin within a year or so.’ I was dead wrong.” While Buffet remains bullish on a housing recovery near term, he acknowledges that how long that recovery is in the making will depend on a variety of diverse factors. It is the responsibility of any president or political leader seeking or holding office to help stimulate the recovery of the housing market and to lead the United States out of the current recession. Although this process is complex and dynamic, there are three key steps that can help steer the macro-economy as well as the housing sector in the right direction: a decrease in the amount of red tape currently stifling foreclosure proceedings, incentives to lenders for making home loans, and a decrease in the national debt via a balanced budget.

After the real estate bubble burst at the end of 2007, the United States housing market endured foreclosure rates that quadrupled from their baseline in 2005 to the peak of the housing collapse in mid-2009. Since 2009, foreclosures have steadily declined nationally, and have broken off sharply in certain regions due to the influence of outside forces. Las Vegas is an excellent local market to consider as an example. Las Vegas retained the dubious title of “foreclosure capital of the U.S.” for five straight years from 2007-2011. In late 2011, foreclosures suddenly and dramatically ground nearly to a halt. In August of 2011, there were 4,063 notices of default issued in Clark County, NV. In October 2011, just 2 months later, there were only 43, a decrease of almost 99%! Most experts believe that this drop was due to the passage of Nevada Assembly Bill 284 which placed extensive new regulations into effect for any banks seeking to process foreclosures in the state of Nevada.

It is incumbent upon any leader seeking office, to determine if the decline in foreclosures that has resulted from these and similar measures nation wide, is helping the housing recovery and the economy at large or hurting them. Again, Las Vegas can be used as a test market. The median home price in Las Vegas has risen steadily for the past nine months, for a gain of as much as 30% in some submarkets of the valley. On the surface, this would seem to be nothing but good news for beleaguered Las Vegas homeowners. The problem is, even with all of this upward movement in price, 70% of Las Vegas homeowners are still upside down on their mortgage, with 36% owing more than double what their home is worth. In other words, the upward pressure being exerted on the median home price in Las Vegas is due to the artificial lack of inventory created by the abrupt halt in foreclosures. The majority of homeowners still cannot sell their home for what is owed, so those homes are essentially “frozen” within the market. They cannot be resold or refinanced. This drives the prices of the relatively few homes that are available to unreasonable levels, and sets the stage for a potential second real estate bubble in cities like Las Vegas. Nathan Martin, blogger for Economic Edge, puts it this way, “Each new up cycle produces more debt, recession follows, clears out the debt and allows growth to resume. But when you interrupt the debt clearing process, real growth cannot resume as incomes cannot support more debt.”

In order to prevent this, we must loosen regulations prohibiting foreclosures and allow banks around the country to re-initiate the normal foreclosure process for delinquent borrowers. This is not cruelty; it is practicality. Foreclosure stops the bleeding. Foreclosure provides a reset button for home values in hard hit communities. Once a home has been foreclosed upon, it can re-enter the market at the correct value. Eventually, if the needed foreclosures are allowed to proceed, home prices will finish correcting, inventory will “thaw”, banks can clear their books of non-performing assets freeing up capital to lend, and the real estate market can finally return to normal. Halting foreclosures not only delays this recovery, it creates a paradigm that is ripe for a second housing bubble and a second housing collapse. While it is likely that banks will find their own way around bills like AB284, and resolve issues such as those surrounding MERS, the continued submission of legislation aimed at slowing or blocking foreclosures should be viewed as counter-productive to the economy. The first step to any viable economic and housing market recovery plan must be to legislate the resumption of the normal foreclosure process in all states, free of unnecessary red tape."

If you are interested in learning more about the opportunities that are available for investors in the current Las Vegas real estate market, contact Glenn at VIP Realty.