Las
Vegas real estate professionals have watched and waited for the last
year to see how the passage of Nevada Assembly Bill 284 would impact the
local real estate market. The initial effects were obvious. Virtually
overnight, foreclosures halted in the greater Las Vegas area. Banks
went from filing over 4000 new notices of foreclosure each month, to
filing less than 100. Although banks have since found ways to resume the
foreclosure process, foreclosures rates are still less than half of
what they were prior to AB284. Many investment specialists, such as
myself, cautioned that this lack of foreclosure inventory could very
likely create dramatic and somewhat “artificial” price increases as
demand temporarily outpaced supply. This is, in fact, exactly what has
happened.
As
the foreclosure process continues to be slowed and stopped by this
legislation, median sales prices have skyrocketed, rising over 30% in
the last year in Las Vegas, while the number of units sold has dropped
by a large margin. This means that the rise in home prices is not being
brought on by soaring demand, but by extremely low supply. What most
buyers and sellers in Las Vegas may be unaware of, is that the Nevada
Assembly is considering several modifications to AB284 that may be real
game changers for the Las Vegas real estate market. I recently
interviewed Las Vegas attorney and co-author of AB284 Tish Black on my
radio show “The Las Vegas Real Estate Reality Hour.” (If you would like
more information on the laws that are being proposed in the Nevada
Assembly, you can listen to a rebroadcast of the show on my website at www.teamplantone.com.
The radio player is located on the left hand side of the home page.
Simply click on Playlist and then scroll down to the episode titled
Possible Changes to AB284.)
The bottom line is that the real estate market is very unstable in Las Vegas at the moment. Several possible changes to the law could push inventory up and prices down again. On the other hand, strong gains in the broader economic picture could facilitate another year or more of double digit gains. The end of the current Assembly session should provide some indications of what the near future might bring. I will keep you updated as things progress.
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