Hot Weather Cools Home Sales in Las Vegas

Temperatures in Las Vegas in June soared above average bench marks, but the hot weather seemed to be one factor contributing to slightly cooling sales trends in the local real estate market. The GLVAR reported declines in both new home sales and resales of existing homes last month. During June of this year, there were 3,642 closings of existing single-family homes compared to 3,884 closings in May (down 6.2%) and 3,945 closings in June of 2012 (down 7.7%.) This mark is also down from the high volume of sales Las Vegas recorded shortly after the market collapse.  Vegas properties closed at a rate of 4,702 resales in June of 2009, mostly due to the huge number of cheap foreclosures flooding the market and being snapped up by investors at that time.

New home sales were also down in the Las Vegas valley. Builders unloaded just 637 new properties in June, down 8.5% from May.  This number is still significantly higher than the previous June though, when very little new construction was available on the market. Dennis Smith, president and CEO of Home Builders Research, blames hotter than average weather and the sharp rise in interest rates for the decline.

It is interesting to note, however, that 60% of Las Vegas deals are still being completed as cash transactions, most of these sales to investors.  It seems unlikely to think that investors who are paying cash would have much regard for either rising interest rates or rising temperatures.  Rather, it seems to me, that the slow down in sales rates has more to do with the decrease in foreclosures on the market and the subsequent difficulties investors are facing in finding properties that cash flow as profitable investments.

I have been pursuing HOA foreclosures over the last year as an excellent way to obtain Las Vegas investment properties for my clients at 2010 and 2011 prices. These properties can not only generate positive cash flow, but they have instant equity and still benefit from the rising home prices we expect to continue to see in Las Vegas as the housing market recovers further from its catastrophic lows. If you are interested in learning more about this unique way to purchase discount Las Vegas real estate, call Glenn directly for more information.

Bubble Much? Is a Second Real Estate Bubble Upon Us?

Here's the short answer to that question: Maybe.

Home prices in the United States spiked a remarkable 12.2% in the year long period ending May, 2013.  That gain is the largest one-year post since 2006. In fact, for the first time since the housing collapse, two cities posted new record high median home prices: Dallas and Denver. In Las Vegas, the gains were even more incredible. Las Vegas home prices rose 23.3% in twelve months, although prices still remain well below the highs of 2006.

So what does all this mean for the average home buyer or the real estate investor? Are prices going to continue to sky rocket? Are we creating another real estate bubble here in Las Vegas? Are we watching the beginnings of "Bubble 2014"?

Maybe. But I don't think we've reached the "danger zone" just yet. Many economists believe that rising mortgage rates (likely to continue to rise as the Fed begins to taper off quantitative easing) and rising supply levels will hold back the meteoric rise of real estate values and start to restore balance to the Las Vegas real estate market in the next year. I think that this is a definite possibility. IF these things occur, then I believe prices will stabilize in the Las Vegas market and we will likely avoid another real estate crash. IF, however, supply levels in Las Vegas do not rise quickly enough to keep up with demand, or if mortgage rates rise only marginally and do not serve as a deterrent, then it is likely that we will see prices continue to rise sharply in the Las Vegas real estate market. If that happens, we may very well find ourselves facing another bubble. Bubble 2014 perhaps.

Only time will tell.



 

Land Grab Is On In Las Vegas!

DR Horton and Pardee Homes gobbled up most of the recent land offering from the government here in Las Vegas.  The Bureau of Land Management auctioned off some 109 acres, raising around $21.4 million.  This purchase is almost universally being heralded as a great sign for the Las Vegas housing market.  Since the housing crash in 2008, the government has only sold around 30 acres of Las Vegas land.  It's not that the government didn't want to sell, the developers simply had no interest in buying. With the massive amounts of foreclosures on the market from 2008-2011, partially developed communities sat vacant across the valley as home builders essentially closed up shop. Now, with inventories of existing homes at all time lows, builders are once again in the buying mood.

It also seems that they are willing to pay a premium for the land they are purchasing. According to BLM officials, the $21.4 million paid for the auction's nine parcels exceeded the appraised value of the land by more than $7 million. The sale price worked out to be around $181,000 per acre. Values during the recession had sunk as low as $5K - $25K per acre. The rebounded price, however, is still much lower than the bubble prices of 2006/2007, when acres of land in Las Vegas sold for upwards of $650,000 per acre.

Robert Deville, president of Harmony Homes in Las Vegas, reiterated that land is becoming increasingly difficult to come by in the now booming Las Vegas real estate market. “We came to a grinding halt with the problems we had," he explained, "and now the demand is there but the plots and land supply is not. Right now it is very difficult to find parcels. I’m always looking for land.”

Flipping Slows in Las Vegas - We Could Have Told You That!

A new report from California based real estate information group RealtyTrac was cited recently in the Las Vegas Review Journal.  The report shows that home flipping activity has slowed dramatically in Las Vegas in the first half of 2013. The average gain per home is also down significantly. The Review Journal explains:

"Investors in Nevada flipped 2,932 homes from January to June, a 34 percent decline compared with the first six months of 2012. The average purchase price for a flipped property, defined as a home bought and resold in the same six-month period, was $162,472. That included an average gross profit of $15,205, or 9 percent.

Nationally, investors flipped 136,184 homes, for a gain of 19 percent. The average purchase price was $200,942, with a profit of $18,391, also a 9 percent margin. Buyers typically purchased at a 5 percent discount on market value, and sold at a 1 percent premium."

Well...yeah.  We could have told you that was coming almost a year ago.  Oh wait...we did tell you. Ever since the passage of AB289, the inventory of foreclosures in Las Vegas has been dwindling.  Without this traditional source of undervalued homes, investors have struggled to find homes to flip.  Lately, they've struggled to find even homes to keep as buy and hold investments.

We've been investigating a new source of undervalued properties for our investor clients in the last year: HOA foreclosures. This new buying strategy has been working very well and we are once again able to secure property for our investors at prices we thought we might never see again.  If you are looking to purchase investment property in Las Vegas and have been unsuccessful, give me a call directly. I can explain the HOA foreclosure process to you in more detail and let you know how it can help grow your portfolio of investment properties.